Orange County SC vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 0
COL
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
EPL
2 - 0
ORA
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ORA
2 - 2
NMU
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ORA
3 - 5
TUL
83%
12%
6%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
REN
2 - 2
ORA
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
TAC
2 - 1
SAC
30%
27%
42%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 2
NMU
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
TUL
4 - 0
TAC
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
TAC
0 - 3
LAG
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 0
RGV
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |