Orange County SC vs San Diego Loyal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 3
ORA
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ORA
3 - 4
LAG
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ORA
1 - 0
SAC
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 0
ORA
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ORA
6 - 0
VEN
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
San Diego Loyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ARI
2 - 2
SDL
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SDL
2 - 1
LVG
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 1
SDL
69%
20%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
TAC
3 - 1
SDL
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
RGV
1 - 0
SDL
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |