Orange County SC vs Saint Louis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
REN
3 - 1
ORA
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ORA
2 - 1
SEA
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
LVG
3 - 5
ORA
23%
26%
52%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
ORA
5 - 2
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
FFC
0 - 1
ORA
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Saint Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
0 - 0
OKC
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 0
TUL
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ARI
2 - 0
LOU
56%
23%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 0
USA
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SPK
3 - 4
LOU
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |