Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 1
ORA
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
ORA
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ORA
2 - 1
ROC
55%
23%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
ORA
2 - 1
CHA
40%
28%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ORA
2 - 2
PNN
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 3
SAC
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
SAC
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |