Orange County SC vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
PNN
3 - 2
ORA
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ORA
0 - 0
RIC
27%
28%
45%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
ORA
0 - 0
RIC
26%
27%
46%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ANT
3 - 0
ORA
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 1
ORA
63%
21%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 2
PNN
52%
27%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
4 - 0
PIT
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 0
PIT
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
NYO
2 - 1
ROC
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 3
CHA
67%
21%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |