Orange County SC vs Portland Timbers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AUS
1 - 0
ORA
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
ARI
0 - 3
ORA
39%
24%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ORA
1 - 0
AUS
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
ORA
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ORA
1 - 0
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
POR
2 - 0
TUL
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
VAN
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
POR
3 - 4
OKC
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
AUS
0 - 1
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
LAG
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |