Orange County SC vs New Mexico United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ORA
3 - 5
TUL
83%
12%
6%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
REN
2 - 2
ORA
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ORA
1 - 2
ARI
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ORA
1 - 0
REN
47%
24%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ORA
4 - 0
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
NMU
2 - 1
TUL
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ARI
3 - 3
NMU
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
NMU
1 - 1
FFC
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |