Orange County SC vs Monterey Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
17.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.6%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.3%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.6%
1.9%
Win probability
0.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 2
ORA
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
SDL
2 - 1
ORA
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ORA
3 - 1
LOU
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
LOU
3 - 1
ORA
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
LVG
3 - 0
ORA
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Monterey Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
MBF
1 - 1
NMU
5%
15%
80%
|
15 | 55 | 40 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MBF
1 - 2
SAC
6%
18%
76%
|
15 | 57 | 42 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
LAG
3 - 2
MBF
94%
5%
1%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MBF
2 - 3
USA
5%
13%
82%
|
16 | 58 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MBF
0 - 2
ORS
6%
16%
78%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | -1 |