Orange County SC vs Miami FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PIT
0 - 2
ORA
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 2
ORA
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 2
ARI
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 0
EPL
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MBF
0 - 1
ORA
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Miami FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MIA
0 - 1
SAC
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MIA
2 - 0
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MIA
0 - 5
KCW
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAC
1 - 0
MIA
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
MIA
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |