Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
ORA
1 - 0
SDL
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ORS
0 - 1
ORA
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
ORA
1 - 0
ARI
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
TAC
4 - 1
ORA
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ORA
0 - 1
ARI
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Las Vegas Lights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LVG
3 - 6
ARI
13%
21%
67%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
TAC
0 - 1
LVG
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LVG
0 - 1
LAG
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ORS
2 - 2
LVG
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
LVG
2 - 4
SDL
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |