Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
SDL
2 - 0
ORA
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
SAC
2 - 1
ORA
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
ORA
1 - 2
LAG
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
ORA
2 - 1
LAG
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
ORA
0 - 0
SDL
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Las Vegas Lights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
LAG
3 - 2
LVG
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ARI
5 - 1
LVG
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
LVG
0 - 2
ARI
19%
23%
59%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
LVG
1 - 1
SDL
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
LAG
4 - 3
LVG
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |