Orange County SC vs Las Vegas Lights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
ARI
3 - 4
ORA
48%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
ORA
2 - 1
SPK
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
ORA
2 - 2
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 2
ORA
33%
28%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
SPK
0 - 4
ORA
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Las Vegas Lights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LOU
4 - 1
LVG
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
LVG
1 - 0
RGV
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
SEA
3 - 0
LVG
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
LVG
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
RGV
2 - 0
LVG
35%
25%
40%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |