Orange County SC vs Penn FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 0
ORA
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 3
ORA
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
ORA
1 - 2
RIC
37%
29%
34%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
ORA
4 - 0
ANT
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
PNN
2 - 4
ORA
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Penn FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
ARI
1 - 3
PNN
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
PNN
5 - 1
DAY
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
ORL
3 - 1
PNN
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
VSI
0 - 2
PNN
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
PNN
0 - 1
RIC
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |