Orange County SC vs Dayton Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
DAY
0 - 0
ORA
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 2
ORA
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ORA
1 - 2
CHI
29%
23%
48%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ORA
4 - 3
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
ORA
5 - 1
VEN
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ARI
0 - 0
DAY
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
DAY
2 - 1
VSI
57%
23%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
DAY
0 - 0
ORA
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
COC
2 - 1
DAY
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
DAY
3 - 1
ANT
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |