Orange County SC vs Dayton Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
ORA
55%
26%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
ORL
1 - 1
ORA
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
ORA
1 - 3
VEN
58%
22%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
PIT
0 - 3
ORA
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
DAY
0 - 1
ORA
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
DAY
1 - 1
PIT
42%
24%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
MIC
1 - 2
DAY
76%
15%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
DAY
0 - 1
CHA
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
COC
1 - 2
DAY
82%
12%
5%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
DAY
2 - 2
ROC
23%
28%
49%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |