Orange County SC vs Dayton Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
ORA
1 - 1
DAY
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
WIL
4 - 2
ORA
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 0
ORA
53%
27%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
GAL
2 - 1
ORA
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
ORA
1 - 2
PNN
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dayton Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
ORA
1 - 1
DAY
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
PNN
2 - 2
DAY
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
ORL
0 - 0
DAY
78%
16%
6%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2011 |
RIC
3 - 1
DAY
73%
19%
8%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 0
DAY
72%
20%
9%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | -1 |