Orange County SC vs Chivas USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
48%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
ORA
4 - 3
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
ORA
5 - 1
VEN
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
ORA
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
RIC
1 - 1
ORA
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
ORA
0 - 0
PIT
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Chivas USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
COR
2 - 0
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 4
RSL
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
KCW
4 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 2
SJE
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |