Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 0
EPL
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MBF
0 - 1
ORA
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 0
USA
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
ORA
3 - 1
ORS
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 1
ORA
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
SDL
3 - 4
ARI
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
ARI
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 2
NMU
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 1
ORA
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EPL
1 - 1
ARI
27%
25%
49%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |