Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
VAN
3 - 4
ORA
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ORA
1 - 4
REN
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
ORA
3 - 1
SAC
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
COL
2 - 1
ORA
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
ORA
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SPK
1 - 1
ARI
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ARI
4 - 1
POR
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ARI
2 - 0
RGV
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
ARI
4 - 3
TUL
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SAC
2 - 0
ARI
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |