Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2016 |
ORA
0 - 3
COL
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SAC
0 - 1
ORA
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ORA
1 - 0
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ORA
1 - 0
USA
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 1
ORA
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARI
0 - 0
OKC
32%
25%
44%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ARI
1 - 1
POR
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
ARI
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
COL
2 - 0
ARI
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 0
ARI
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |