Orange County SC vs Antigua Barracuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
ORA
0 - 1
DAY
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
DAY
0 - 0
ORA
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 2
ORA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ORA
1 - 2
CHI
29%
23%
48%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ORA
4 - 3
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Antigua Barracuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
PIT
4 - 1
ANT
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 1
ANT
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
PNN
3 - 1
ANT
80%
14%
7%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
RIC
4 - 0
ANT
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
ORL
2 - 0
ANT
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |