Orange County SC vs Antigua Barracuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ANT
1 - 2
ORA
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2009 |
SON
5 - 2
ORA
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
CAC
3 - 4
ORA
20%
24%
57%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | +8 |
| 31 Aug. 2000 |
BOS
3 - 0
ORA
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
ORA
2 - 1
NAS
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Antigua Barracuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ANT
1 - 2
ORA
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |