Orange County FC vs Golden State Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Orange County FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
OCO
5 - 2
COA
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
OCO
2 - 2
ASL
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -3 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ARI
2 - 1
OCO
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
OCO
4 - 1
FGS
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 1
OCO
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Golden State Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
GSF
3 - 2
OCB
92%
6%
2%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
GSF
2 - 2
TUC
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
VEN
0 - 1
GSF
11%
15%
74%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
SDZ
0 - 4
GSF
6%
12%
82%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
GSC
0 - 0
GSF
5%
10%
85%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | -1 |