Optik Rathenow vs Union Fürstenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
12º
17º
13º
47
5º
17º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
HZE
5 - 1
OPT
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
OPT
5 - 0
MSV
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RFC
3 - 0
OPT
65%
18%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OPT
4 - 2
FRA
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 0
OPT
25%
20%
55%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Union Fürstenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 0
TAS
84%
10%
6%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
DSC
3 - 0
UNI
17%
17%
66%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -3 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
RSV
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SCS
2 - 3
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |