Optik Rathenow vs Sparta Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
14º
10º
53
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
3 - 1
OPT
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HZE
2 - 0
OPT
84%
12%
5%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
OPT
5 - 1
BRA
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
OPT
2 - 1
PRE
51%
20%
29%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 1
OPT
87%
10%
4%
|
21 | 56 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 1
TEN
42%
21%
37%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 3
SVS
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
SVS
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 2
LFC
43%
23%
34%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SVS
2 - 4
ALT
7%
12%
81%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | -1 |