Optik Rathenow vs Mahlsdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
14º
10º
46
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Optik Rathenow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TEN
1 - 1
OPT
47%
21%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 4
OPT
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
OPT
3 - 0
RSV
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OPT
1 - 1
DSC
66%
17%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
OPT
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mahlsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAH
3 - 2
DSC
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TAS
1 - 1
MAH
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HZE
4 - 1
MAH
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TUM
0 - 3
MAH
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAH
4 - 1
NEU
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |