OPS vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
OPS
1 - 1
TP4
47%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OPS
1 - 0
HAU
73%
15%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
OPS
0 - 0
PON
73%
15%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PSK
1 - 6
OPS
39%
21%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OPS
0 - 4
ROP
62%
17%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HER
0 - 1
NAR
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAR
0 - 2
OTP
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VIF
1 - 0
NAR
67%
19%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAR
1 - 4
OLS
31%
25%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
JBK
1 - 3
NAR
37%
22%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |