Oppsal vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
10º
7º
31
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 62 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 54 |
2º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 40 |
6º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 35 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 35 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
9º
|
52.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 29 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 25 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 18 |
13º
|
97% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oppsal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KFU
5 - 1
OPP
32%
21%
47%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
OPP
3 - 1
FOL
19%
21%
60%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +4 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
OPP
3 - 2
AFK
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 3
OPP
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
OPP
2 - 0
LOR
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
2 - 4
SAR
37%
21%
42%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
IFL
46%
21%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KFU
5 - 0
SAR
63%
18%
20%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 3
NOR
24%
20%
56%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 1
OPP
36%
21%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |