Operário vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.7%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 2
ACA
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 1
OPE
9%
20%
71%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 1
OPE
32%
25%
42%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 0
OLI
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAL
13%
18%
68%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SAB
0 - 1
TOU
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
2 - 1
OPE
9%
20%
71%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TOU
1 - 4
PRA
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ADN
1 - 1
TOU
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ACA
4 - 1
TOU
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |