Operário vs Tocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
OPE
0 - 0
COI
55%
24%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
CIN
3 - 1
OPE
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 1
TOU
52%
25%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BUS
1 - 3
OPE
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 0
SOU
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
TOC
52%
23%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
TOC
2 - 0
ANA
20%
23%
58%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +5 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
TOC
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
TOC
0 - 1
ACV
17%
24%
59%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ESP
2 - 0
TOC
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |