Operário vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 0
OPE
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 0
ADN
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LUS
5 - 0
OPE
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 2
OPE
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
4 - 0
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 2
CES
67%
19%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ANA
0 - 1
BEN
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 1
SAO
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ACV
1 - 1
BEN
72%
18%
11%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 0
TOC
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |