Operário vs Padroense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 0
OPE
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 0
AMA
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
OPE
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 0
BOA
24%
27%
49%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 1
OPE
21%
23%
57%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Padroense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 4
PAD
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 2
ESP
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
COI
1 - 4
PAD
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 0
GON
21%
25%
55%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 1
PAD
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |