Operário vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
QUA
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 0
OPE
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 1
CAS
39%
26%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PRA
2 - 0
OPE
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
OPE
3 - 0
OEL
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 2
FER
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SOB
2 - 2
MOU
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOU
30%
26%
45%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MOU
2 - 0
PRA
57%
22%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
MOU
88%
10%
3%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | +1 |