Operário vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
QUA
0 - 1
OPE
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
VIZ
2 - 2
OPE
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
OPE
5 - 0
ANG
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
OPE
0 - 0
ATL
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
OPE
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 2
LUS
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 0
PRA
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 0
QUA
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 2
ANG
39%
25%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
OPE
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +3 |