Operário vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ADN
1 - 1
OPE
19%
24%
56%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
OPE
3 - 0
ACA
64%
21%
14%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SAB
0 - 2
OPE
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OPE
4 - 0
OLI
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
PAM
1 - 2
OPE
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 2
CAL
26%
27%
46%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
NAV
2 - 1
FAT
43%
28%
30%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
FAT
2 - 2
NAV
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FAT
6 - 0
ATL
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SER
2 - 1
FAT
62%
23%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |