Operário vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
COI
1 - 1
OPE
40%
25%
34%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
GON
0 - 1
OPE
68%
21%
12%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 1
ALI
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TON
1 - 1
OPE
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAO
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
PAR
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
COI
1 - 1
ESP
17%
24%
59%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ESP
1 - 2
GON
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
ESP
18%
24%
59%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 1
TON
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |