Operário vs Naval 1º de Maio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
4.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
OPE
15%
23%
63%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
OPE
3 - 0
OLE
85%
12%
3%
|
51 | 17 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 2
OPE
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 1
OPE
19%
24%
57%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Naval 1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
IDE
5 - 1
ANM
76%
15%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ANM
3 - 3
OLE
73%
16%
12%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FAT
8 - 0
ANM
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SER
3 - 0
ANM
79%
15%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 0
ANM
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |