Operário vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 2
OPE
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 0
BOA
24%
27%
49%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
0 - 1
OPE
21%
23%
57%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
4 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 0
ESP
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
2 - 0
ESP
24%
25%
51%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COI
0 - 0
AMA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
GON
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
AMA
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
TON
19%
26%
55%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +1 |