Operário vs Aliados Lordelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
TON
1 - 1
OPE
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAO
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ANG
0 - 1
OPE
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 1
ANA
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 1
OPE
37%
24%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aliados Lordelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 2
ESP
18%
24%
59%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
COI
1 - 1
ALI
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
GON
19%
25%
57%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TON
2 - 0
ALI
79%
15%
7%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | -1 |