Operário vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 2
SAB
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PRA
2 - 2
OPE
20%
24%
57%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 0
OPE
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 1
TOU
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 2
ACA
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 1
ADN
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ADN
4 - 3
SAB
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
OLI
4 - 3
ADN
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PRA
1 - 2
ADN
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ADN
3 - 0
IDE
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |