Operário PR vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
OPE
22%
24%
55%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
0 - 1
LON
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
JMA
3 - 2
OPE
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 1
PAR
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 2
OPE
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TCW
4 - 0
CIA
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
COT
3 - 1
TCW
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 81 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TCW
2 - 0
NPR
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
TCW
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 1
TCW
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |