Operário PR vs Roma Apucarana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
OPE
0 - 0
RIO
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 2
OPE
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
3 - 4
OPE
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 0
CCR
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
COT
3 - 2
OPE
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 3
ATP
13%
22%
65%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACP
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
2 - 0
IRA
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 1
ROM
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |