Operário PR vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LON
0 - 1
OPE
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
OPE
2 - 0
JMA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
OPE
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
OPE
2 - 2
RIO
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
0 - 3
OPE
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 0
NPR
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
TCW
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
1 - 1
COT
7%
17%
76%
|
35 | 82 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 2
JMA
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
NPR
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |