Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 4-10
Operário PR vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
OPE
0 - 1
JEC
40%
27%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
JEC
0 - 0
OPE
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MET
2 - 3
OPE
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
MET
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
ECS
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
MAD
0 - 0
USC
40%
27%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
USC
1 - 3
MAD
60%
24%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
MAD
2 - 1
RIO
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAD
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
TUP
3 - 0
MAD
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |