Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 4-1
Operário PR vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
DES
0 - 2
OPE
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
POL
1 - 1
OPE
13%
23%
64%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
IRA
1 - 1
OPE
30%
26%
44%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
OPE
1 - 1
CEU
69%
19%
11%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BRU
1 - 0
OPE
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
DES
0 - 2
OPE
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
POR
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
DES
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
DES
2 - 2
BAN
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 1
DES
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |