Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-2
Operário PR vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
OPE
1 - 0
FOZ
62%
22%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 2
OPE
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 1
LON
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PST
2 - 2
OPE
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
5 - 1
OPE
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CRI
5 - 0
CAM
71%
20%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
CRI
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CRI
0 - 2
FFL
33%
27%
41%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
CRI
5 - 0
INT
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 0
CRI
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |