Operário MT vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LUZ
0 - 0
OPE
45%
27%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
OPE
47%
26%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 2
LUZ
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
TOM
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 2
OPE
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
TOM
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 3
OPE
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 0
GRÊ
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRÊ
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
LUZ
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |