Operário MT vs Comercial MS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 1
OPE
60%
22%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
OPE
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 3
APA
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CUI
1 - 1
OPE
63%
23%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 1
CUI
28%
28%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
CAL
27%
30%
44%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
APA
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
IVI
2 - 3
COM
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
IVI
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |