Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-2
Operário MT vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
65.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 0
CUI
24%
28%
49%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
URO
3 - 2
OPE
56%
25%
20%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
OPE
3 - 2
URO
33%
27%
41%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
CUI
2 - 0
OPE
72%
19%
10%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
OPE
1 - 2
SIN
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 0
AVA
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BRU
1 - 0
AVA
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AVA
0 - 1
JEC
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 0
AVA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |