Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-3
Operário MT vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
OPE
1 - 2
CUI
27%
27%
46%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
RON
1 - 0
OPE
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DBO
0 - 1
OPE
82%
13%
6%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
OPE
0 - 2
MIX
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LUV
2 - 0
OPE
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
3 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
5 - 3
AVA
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 0
HER
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
INT
2 - 0
AVA
19%
20%
61%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |